CSP – getting it wrong….again

Yet again, Geoffrey Brown, the official blogger for the Climate Sceptics Party has done a blind cut and paste job without checking to see how accurate what he has pasted is. In this case it was a paper published by Murray Ford in the Journal of Coastal Research. It discusses the implications of anthropogenic alterations to shorelines in the wake of anticipated sealevel rise in Majuro Atoll in the Marshall Islands. Here is his post

Sea Level Rise ~ a spurious notion?

From CO2 Science, a new paper published in the Journal of Coastal Research
Reference
Ford, M. 2012. Shoreline changes on an urban atoll in the central Pacific Ocean: Majuro Atoll, Marshall Islands. Journal of Coastal Research 28: 11-22.

What was learned
The University of Hawaii researcher reports that the rural lagoon shore of Majuro Atoll has been predominantly eroding, but that the ocean-facing shore has been largely accreting, and at a much faster rate. In addition, he finds that “shoreline change within the urban area of Majuro has been largely driven by widespread reclamation for a mix of residential, commercial and industrial activities.” Thus, “despite a rising sea level,” he finds that “the landmass of Majuro has persisted and, largely because of reclamation, increased in size.”

What it means
Ford concludes by noting that as an atoll population increases, “further demands are placed on the limited land available,” and he says that in the case of Majuro Atoll, “it is likely that land reclamation will continue to satisfy this demand,” noting that “the notion that sea level rise is a singular driver of shoreline change along atolls is spurious,” while stating that “adopting such a notion is an impediment to the sustainable management of coastal resources within urban atolls.”
Inhabitants of Tuvalu (and other island states) … take note!

The idea of this cut and paste job is to paint a couple of pictures. First, he is trying to show that through anthropogenic processes, sealevel rise can be beaten.  After all, the landmass has “increased in size”,”despite rising sea levels”.  Aren’t we humans clever?
The second thing is the cherrypicked and misplaced quote that “the notion that sealevel rise……….is spurious and adopting such a notion…………..within urban atolls.” Far from being Ford’s conclusion, this little gem appeared in the discussion and in the context of future projections of island stability based on past shorelines and rightly so. There is nothing controversial in this statement. Of course all things must be taken into consideration and that is what Ford is doing. Nowhere does he give examples of published papers that have adopted that “spurious” approach. The way it has been taken out of context and dropped into the conclusion is a serious misrepresentation and right up Geoffrey’s alley for that very reason.  So, what exactly does Ford conclude? Before reading the conclusion in its entirety below, just go back and read what Geoffrey has reposted as Ford’s conclusion again.

 

CONCLUSION

The landmass of Majuro atoll is dynamic, shaped by the continual morphodynamic adjustment of shorelines in response to changes in physical and biological processes. Within recent history, anthropogenic activities have been the dominant processes driving coastal change, with results showing that the majority of villages, both urban and rural, have increased in size (93%). The dominant mode of shoreline change has been through the reclamation along both ocean and lagoon coasts within the urban area. Up to 22 ha of additional land had been added to some villages through construction of an airport, causeways, and landfills and reclamation for residential, commercial, and industrial activities.

Despite a rising sea level, the landmass of Majuro has persisted and, largely because of reclamation, increased in size. The question as to whether the drivers of this trend persist is a necessary focal point for future work, both in Majuro and on reef and atoll islands in general. As a population increases, further demands are placed on the limited land available. It is likely that land reclamation will continue to satisfy this demand. However, the continued expansion of urban atolls through reclamation is in need of critical examination—from the perspective not only of sustainability but also of vulnerability. High-density residential and commercial activities on often poorly designed and constructed reclamation ultimately increase vulnerability of atoll islands to coastal hazards, with such hazards likely to be further amplified by future sea level rise.

I would say that what the author has said is somewhat different to what Geoffrey and his ilk would have people believe. I just don’t understand why they are so deceitful? I think Bill Maher summed it up beautifully in one of his monologues when he suggested Al Gore should bring out a sequel and call it “An Inconvenient Truth 2: what the fuck is wrong with you?”

9 Comments

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9 responses to “CSP – getting it wrong….again

  1. john byatt

    TCSP “Inhabitants of Tuvalu (and other island states) … take note!”

    Having a friend living on Funafuti , I found the ignorance shown by that statement an insult to the people of Tuvalu.
    A denial of the reality and the worst form of propaganda, “blame the victims”

    ,

  2. john byatt

    The climate sceptics blog once again just echoes the denialsphere, Latest post ” anybody see a trend since kyoto?.. simply a copy and paste from marc morono

    http://www.climatedepot.com/a/16088/Anybody-see-a-trend-change-in-CO2-emissions-after-Kyoto

  3. john byatt

    what a joke, the morono article justs links back to Geoff’s post.

    .

  4. john byatt

    Anybody see a trend change since Kyoto

    goes around in circles, CDIAC graph does not appear at CDIAC, still looking

    see http://goo.gl/4eqSv

    .

    • Good morning John

      Yep, I did the roundabout too. I’m still trying to understand how they think its a correllation. The time of the Kyoto protocol was about the same time that China made some massive changes to their socioeconomic policies allowing greater growth. But of course since we’re on the topic of correlation=causation, everyone knows that the reason why global temperatures has gone up is due to a lack of pirates. Just ask an pastafarian.

  5. john byatt

    Found it mike, a rehashed WUWT last year post

    http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/11/09/what-hath-kyoto-wrought/

  6. john byatt

    My letter re Campbell Newman shutting down the QLD office of climate change was printed in a few regional papers this week,

    yesterday Newman announced the closing of the ULDA, urban land development authority and will reinstate local councils (local developers) as having full responsibility for coastal and regional developments, without the ULDA seaside and riparian development will have no input re SLR, future water security, land management , QLD, onward to the past.

    We probably do not even have a minister for climate change anymore, must search that,

    anyway, good morning, Arctic atmosphere hit 400ppm CO2 this week, first time for at least 800,000 years, climate progress

    .

  7. john byatt

    Note

    Minister for Environment and Heritage Protection

    Andrew Powell MP

    Responsible for environment, climate change science and policy, coastal management, ecologically sustainable development, environmental planning, protection of flora and fauna, historical cultural heritage, pollution management, and waste management.

    He has never made any statements re climate change and is mad keen to mine cape york, (wild rivers) His only statement re CO2 methane pollution was that he would dump the tax on council landfill sites that would have reduced those emissions,

    Minister for climate change science? weird title

    we are fucked .

  8. john byatt

    Confirmed that Andrew Powell QLD minister for climate change science and policy is a human caused global warming sceptic, great, just fucking great, was obvious,

    http://www.abc.net.au/worldtoday/content/2012/s3517410.htm