Category Archives: Climate Change

Feeding a hot, hungry world – agriculture in the face of climate change

Rice is one of the foodcrops expected to suffer under rising temperatures.

Rice is one of the foodcrops expected to suffer under rising temperatures.

from Nova – Science in the News

How will we feed the world’s population as the planet gets warmer?

In 2010, global agricultural production amounted to more than eight and a half billion tonnes of grains, vegetables, meat and other bio-products. Slightly more than eight billion tonnes (that’s more than eight trillion kilograms!) of this was food. Despite this staggering number, more than 870 million people in the world are still hungry…. check it out

Leave a Comment

Filed under Climate Change

Biodiversity problems in the UK

The common frog. One of the species in the UK under threat from climate change.

The common frog. One of the species in the UK under threat from climate change.

Two very important reports have just been released that highlight the massive problems UK animal and plant species are experiencing in the face of urbanisation, changed farming practices and most importantly, climate change. The first report is the RSBG State of Nature Report. This report was compiled by 25 wildlife organisations using the latest information on animal and plant distribution, diversity and abundance. The major finding is that the UK’s biodiversity has declined by some 60%. From the report…

  • We have quantitative assessments of the population or distribution trends of 3,148 species. Of these, 60% of species have declined over the last 50 yearsand 31% have declined strongly.

  • Half of the species assessed have shown strong changes in abundance or distribution, indicating that recent environmental changes are having a dramatic impact on the nature of the UK’s land and seas. There is also evidence to suggest that species with specific habitat requirements are faring worse than generalist species that are better able to adapt to a changing environment.

  • A new Watchlist Indicator has been developed to measure how conservation priority species are faring, based on 155 species for which we have suitable data. This group contains many of our most threatened and vulnerable species, and the indicator shows that their overall numbers have declined by 77% in the last 40 years, with little sign of recovery.

  • Of more than 6,000 species that have been assessed using modern Red List criteria, more than one in ten are thought to be under threat of extinction in the UK. A further 885 species are listed as threatened using older Red List criteria or alternative methods to classify threat.

  • Our assessment looks back over 50 years at most and over a considerably shorter period of time for many species groups. It is well accepted that there were considerable (albeit largely unquantified) declines in the UK’s wildlife prior to the last 50 years, linked to habitat loss.

  • Although robust data are in short supply, it is clear that the UK’s Overseas Territories (UKOTs) hold a wealth of wildlife of huge international importance. However, over 90 of these species are at high risk of global extinction.

  • Our ability to monitor the state of nature, and respond with appropriate conservation action, is hampered by a lack of knowledge on the trends of most of the UK’s plant and animal species. As a result, we can report quantitative trends for only 5% of the 59,000 or so terrestrial and freshwater species in the UK, and for very few of the 8,500 marine species. Our knowledge is strongly biased towards vertebrates and we know little about the fortunes of many invertebrates and fungi. Much needs to be done to improve our knowledge.

  • What we do know about the state of the UK’s nature is often based upon the efforts of thousands of dedicated volunteer enthusiasts who contribute their time and expertise to species monitoring and recording schemes.

  • The threats to the UK’s wildlife are many and varied, the most severe acting either to destroy valuable habitat or degrade the quality and value of what remains.

  • Climate change is having an increasing impact on nature in the UK. Rising average temperatures are known to be driving range expansion in some species, but evidence for harmful impacts is also mounting.

  • We should act to save nature both for its intrinsic value and for the benefits it brings to us that are essential to our well-being and prosperity.

  • This report carries a message of hope: targeted conservation has produced a legacy of inspiring success stories and, with sufficient determination, resources and public support, we can, and will, turn the fortunes of our wildlife around. It also serves to illustrate that with shared resolve we can save nature.

What this report shows is that both our direct impacts (e.g. land use) and indirect impacts (climate change) are having a very adverse effects on ecosystem health and subsequent biodiversity. The full report can be found here.

The second report is the Living with Environmental Change (LWEC) “Terrestrial Biodiversity Climate Change Impacts Report Card 2012 -13. ” As the name implies, this report focuses solely on the impacts of Climate Change. The key points from this report are…

  • There is strong evidence that climate change is already affecting UK biodiversity. Impacts are expected to increase as the magnitude of climate change increases.

  • Many species are occurring further north and at higher altitudes than in previous decades, including some species which have colonised large parts of the UK from continental Europe.

  • Recent rates of change in distributions differ between species. Some species, including many plants, are intrinsically slow to disperse and fragmentation of habitat may contribute to some species spreading more slowly than would be expected from climate change alone.

  • Warmer springs in recent decades have caused a trend towards many biological events (e.g. flowering, budbreak, laying and hatching of eggs) occurring earlier in the year. The rates of change vary among species, which may alter the interactions between species.

  • There is evidence of changes in the composition of plant and animal communities, consistent with different responses of different species to rising temperature.

  • Species differ in their responses to variation in precipitation. The effects of climate change are less certain for precipitation than for temperature, but potential changes could lead to substantial changes in biodiversity and ecosystems.

  • Some habitats are particularly vulnerable to climate change; the risks are clearest for montane habitats (to increased temperature), wetlands (to changes in water availability) and coastal habitats (to sea-level rise).

  • Climate change exacerbates the risk that non-native species (including pests and pathogens) may establish and spread.

  • We expect there to be regional differences in the impact of climate change on biodiversity, reflecting different species, climate, soils and patterns of land use and management.

  • The protected area network, which includes Sites of Special Scientific Interest and National Nature Reserves, will continue to have a valuable role in conservation although there will be changes in populations, communities and ecosystems at individual sites.

  • Climate change will interact with, and may exacerbate, the impact of other continuing pressures on biodiversity, such as land-use change and pollution.

  • Extreme weather events, such as droughts and floods, have clear impacts on ecosystems and the ecosystem services they provide; climate change may alter the frequency and severity of such events.

I recommend people check out the whole report. It makes for compulsory reading and will give an insight into the sort of biological and phenological changes occurring around the world. Full report here.

Leave a Comment

Filed under Climate Change

Humid air and the Jet Stream help to fuel more intense thunderstorms/tornadoes | ClimateState

In light of the devastating tornado in Oklahoma….

Humid air and the Jet Stream help to fuel more intense thunderstorms/tornadoes | ClimateState.

Leave a Comment

Filed under Climate Change

Tornadoes, Extreme Weather And Climate Change, Revisited

The big tornado outbreak, including a monster Oklahoma twister, have people asking again about a possible link to climate change. I’ll review the science in this post. “The news helicopter from kfor.com caught this image of the shocking near-total destruction of a huge area of Moore, Oklahoma, on May 20, 2013.” Via Masters. Tom Karl, the…

via Tornadoes, Extreme Weather And Climate Change, Revisited.

Leave a Comment

Filed under Climate Change

Follow the money

wind turbines iowa

Climate deniers love to bag anything “green”, and write it off as part of the watermelon conspiracy. With wind power, it is easy to dismiss the claims by windbaggers of Wind turbine syndrome as there is nothing in the medical literature to back up the ludicrous claims about a raft of presumed negative effects of wind turbines. One that is not so easily dismissed is that wind power isn’t profitable or costs too much or whatever. Well I guess someone forgot to tell Warren Buffett, but what would he know about money?

Like it or not windbaggers, renewable energy is the future, and the greedy lying bastards of the fossil fuel brigade who feed your petty right wing ideological nonsense with bullshit about renewable energy, are on the investment outer. Read about Buffet’s $1.9 billion investment here.

2 Comments

Filed under Climate Change

U.S. Geological Survey: Warmer Springs Causing Loss Of Snow Cover Throughout The Rocky Mountains

pA new U.S. Geological Survey study finds, “Warmer spring temperatures since 1980 are causing an estimated 20 percent loss of snow cover across the Rocky Mountains of western North America.” The USGS explains, “The new study builds upon a previous USGS snowpack investigation which showed that, until the 1980s, the northern Rocky Mountains experienced large [...]/p

via U.S. Geological Survey: Warmer Springs Causing Loss Of Snow Cover Throughout The Rocky Mountains.

1 Comment

Filed under Climate Change

fish on the move

fish on the move

A new paper just published in the journal Nature demonstrates how the movement of fish away from the equator towards the poles is disrupting ecosystems in that they are not being replaced as they move. The authors of the study also demonstrate how fish movement can be used as a proxy for ocean temperature. Here is the abstract…

Marine fishes and invertebrates respond to ocean warming through distribution shifts, generally to higher latitudes and deeper waters. Consequently, fisheries should be affected by ‘tropicalization’ of catch (increasing dominance of warm-water species). However, a signature of such climate-change effects on global fisheries catch has so far not been detected. Here we report such an index, the mean temperature of the catch (MTC), that is calculated from the average inferred temperature preference of exploited species weighted by their annual catch. Our results show that, after accounting for the effects of fishing and large-scale oceanographic variability, global MTC increased at a rate of 0.19 degrees Celsius per decade between 1970 and 2006, and non-tropical MTC increased at a rate of 0.23 degrees Celsius per decade. In tropical areas, MTC increased initially because of the reduction in the proportion of subtropical species catches, but subsequently stabilized as scope for further tropicalization of communities became limited. Changes in MTC in 52 large marine ecosystems, covering the majority of the world’s coastal and shelf areas, are significantly and positively related to regional changes in sea surface temperature. This study shows that ocean warming has already affected global fisheries in the past four decades, highlighting the immediate need to develop adaptation plans to minimize the effect of such warming on the economy and food security of coastal communities, particularly in tropical regions.

The Washington Post has a good write up here.

Leave a Comment

Filed under Climate Change

more records fall.

girl in surf

It seems that AGW keeps producing new weather records. Sydney is experiencing its longest late season warm spell on record with 26 consecutive days with temperatures greater than 20 degrees. Ocean temperatures off Sydney are also 3 degrees C above normal. Peter Hannan writing for the Sydney Morning Herald reports

Leave a Comment

Filed under Climate Change

Climate change will cause widespread global-scale loss of common plants and animals, researchers predict

When I first started this blog, my intention was to focus mainly on the effect of climate change on the ecological world. I started out by collecting a number of references to papers that demonstrate range shifts and behavioural changes in various species caused by anthropogenic climate change. That list can be found here. The blog then morphed into a place where I could vent my frustrations about idiotic AGW deniers and more recently focus on Australian politicians and their position on the the scientific consensus that AGW is real and serious. I am pleased to occasionally get back to looking at the impacts of climate change on the natural world because idiotic deniers cannot argue that species haven’t moved or undergone phenological changes because the evidence for these things is unequivocal. Plants, animals, fungi and bacteria cannot be accused of lying or falsifying data or selling out their morals or any other of the ridiculous claims deniers make about scientists. So, to the following article. I welcome any deniers who wish to discuss why the biologcal world is doing what it’s doing. Much as I like going to the circus and watching the clowns throw buckets of confetti at each other.

Climate change will cause widespread global-scale loss of common plants and animals, researchers predict.

Leave a Comment

Filed under Climate Change

NewsDaily: Experts: CO2 record illustrates ‘scary’ trend

From NewsDaily, an article that explains simply, the significance of passing the 400ppm mark in global CO2 concentration.

NewsDaily: Experts: CO2 record illustrates ‘scary’ trend.

Leave a Comment

Filed under Climate Change