TEAHOUSE OF THE AUGUST MOON

(posted by john byatt)

August seems to be getting a lot of attention from the deniers lately; first up we had the resident denier at watchingthedeniers
“And I could explain why I’m not impressed by a few august institutions lending their name to the science”
Translated as “ And I could explain why I am not impressed by every respected major scientific institution on earth lending their name to the science”
Well basically the guy is having a bit of trouble confronting reality and rather weird obsession with Hitler and eugenics.
Then we have the ever reliable JohnM, a not so lone voice crying in the wilderness at ABC Unleashed, repeating the same comment ad infinitum on every climate change opinion piece posted
HIS MANTRA “There hasn’t been any global warming to mitigate for the last 16 years, (since August 1997). How much longer will it be before you admit that you might be wrong?
Okay JohnM, let us look at Global warming as it applies to the month of August and also to 1997
Defining HadCRUT4 by the month of August
The linear trend in HadCRUT4 from August 1997 to August 2012 (181 months) is 0.03ºC/decade (In GISTEMP it is 0.08ºC/decade).
• The trend from August 1975 to July 1997 is 0.16ºC/dec , and the trend to August 2012 is 0.17ºC/dec
• .
• The ten years to August 2012 were warmer than the previous 10 years by 0.15ºC

• which were warmer than the 10 years before that by 0.17ºC,

• which were warmer than the 10 years before that by 0.17ºC,

• and which were warmer than the 10 years before that by 0.17ºC

• .
• The continuation of the linear trend from August 1975 to July 1997 would have predicted a temperature anomaly in August 2012 of 0.524ºC

• . The actual temperature anomaly in August 2012 was 0.525ºC
And 1997?
While we have read many references to the top ten warmest years or the number of warmest years this century (GISS), I thought that I might list them to include every year of the 21st century
We have 2010 and 2005 in a tie for first, Then 1998 2003 2002 2006 2009 2007 2004 2001 2012 2011 2008 1997 1999 1995 2000
There sits 1997 as 14th warmest year and that is the one that JohnM is so excited about?

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